Tough to say, I think it’ll be a close election between Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre. You see, the Liberals under Justin Trudeau have been massively unpopular the past few years amidst similar reasons as to why the Biden administration was unpopular – high inflation, rampant drug issues, too many unskilled immigrants coming into the country – and Trudeau was poised for a historic election defeat had he not stepped down.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-lOL1ck8-hM
Take a look here at downtown Vancouver to see just how bad it’s gotten over the past decade – Toronto’s downtown is even worse. So it’s easy to see why Canadians are not happy with the status quo and want change – for similar reasons why Americans wanted change and elected Trump.
However, the difference being that we don’t have anyone as crazy as Trump. Poilievre has prior political experience as part of the Parliament and as part of Stephen Harper’s cabinet. He’s not a delusional madman like Trump but a normal level-headed politician.
So.. easy win for Pierre right? Well, no. Because of Trump’s rhetoric towards Canada and trying to take Canada’s sovereignty away and insulting Canada saying we are ‘nasty’ neighbors etc Canadians have rallied more or less behind Mark Carney more. Why? Well although Mark has no political experience per se, he has a LOT of experience in the financial sector and he’s perceived as being better to handle Trump.
Although personally I think both candidates will go against Trump well.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/poilievre-trump-taunts-1.7487589
It’s not like Pierre is just going to back down to Trump or anything. No Canadian head is going to back down to Trump when Trump is so widely reviled by Canadians right now. So I think Mark Carney’s advantage against Trump is just a perceived advantage since Pierre’s party aligns more with the Republican party (but not really, because Conservatives in Canada are quite a bit more to the left than US Republicans are).
So.. yeah the election will be close because although the Liberal party did a lot of damage to Canada under Justin Trudeau, Trump’s trade war has made Mark Carney and the Liberals more popular again.
I personally will be still voting for the Conservatives in April. Not that I dislike Carney. But he has no political experience and I’m a bit iffy about that (Trump has no political experience and we saw how that turned out). Now Carney is for sure more intelligent than Trump, but still.. I’d rather take a guy with more political experience. And also yeah, because of all the damage the Liberals have done to Canada over the past 10 years, we all know that. So my vote will go to Pierre. But it’ll be a close election.
PS: Note that although I’ve been a registered Conservative and voted Conservative my whole life, I’ve never attacked Liberal candidates personally the way that Americans seem to attack each other. I don’t know why when Kamala Harris lost, everyone seemed to attack her and denigrate her and hate on her. That kind of hate doesn’t make any sense to me. You can’t just blame one person for all your troubles nor does it make sense to. You can blame the party sure.. but why all the hate towards one person? I don’t get that. Americans seem to attack and blame their Presidential candidates personally which I don’t understand why.
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